TOP PERFORMING Junior Tipsters

Bio Summary

Hello everyone, my name is Edmilson Jr, and I have been actively involved in sports betting for several years, specializing in football (soccer) across more than 40 leagues globally. My approach goes beyond traditional gut-feeling predictions. I rely heavily on mathematical models, statistical analysis, and probability theory to gain an edge in predicting outcomes, total goals, and Asian handicaps. Mathematical and Statistical Approach Betting on football is not just a game of chance; it’s a game of numbers. I employ various mathematical models that factor in key metrics such as team performance, player statistics, form, and historical data to build a comprehensive predictive framework. Expected Goals (xG): This is a core component of my analysis. By calculating the likelihood of goals based on shot location, chance creation, and defensive quality, I can assess how many goals a team is expected to score and concede. Poisson Distribution: This statistical method helps me predict the likelihood of different scorelines, which is particularly useful when betting on correct score markets. By modeling the number of goals as a Poisson process, I can estimate the probability of specific results. Monte Carlo Simulations: Using Monte Carlo simulations, I simulate the outcome of games thousands of times, generating a probability distribution for possible results. This helps refine predictions for not only the match winner, but also over/under goals and the expected value of certain bets. Asian Handicap: For Asian handicap markets, I apply regression analysis to identify discrepancies between the bookmakers' odds and the true probability of outcomes. By adjusting for team strength, injuries, and external factors, I can find value bets that give me a profitable edge over the long term. Why Over 40 Leagues? Diversification is key to successful betting. By focusing on a large number of leagues, I reduce my exposure to unexpected results in any single competition. My data-driven approach allows me to accurately model games from top-tier leagues like the Premier League or La Liga, as well as lesser-known competitions where odds might be less efficient, providing opportunities for higher value. Types of Bets Correct Score: Utilizing Poisson models and advanced team statistics, I generate likely scorelines and target games with high value odds for exact outcomes. Over/Under Goals: Based on expected goals and team tactics, I estimate whether games are likely to exceed or fall short of specific goal thresholds. Asian Handicaps: My analysis focuses on finding underdog value or mismatched lines in the handicap market, where small miscalculations by bookmakers can lead to significant profit opportunities. Conclusion In sports betting, it's not just about predicting winners but about finding consistent value over time. By applying rigorous statistical analysis across a broad range of leagues and markets, I aim to maximize long-term profitability while minimizing risk. The edge I create comes from leveraging mathematics, probability theory, and market inefficiencies to make more informed and precise betting decisions. Thank you for your time, and I look forward to discussing my methods further.

all time performance statistic

• Total tips

  77

• Success tips

  41

• Failed tips

  34

• Draw Tips

  2

• Total Profit

  +35.00

• Total Stakes

  $770

• Average Odds

  1.96

• ROI

  4.55%

• Hits Rate

  54.67%

Service Statistic

Countries Tips

• 12 TipsBrazil

• 8 TipsDenmark

• 8 TipsArmenia

• 8 TipsNorway

• 6 TipsSpain

• 4 TipsGermany

• 4 TipsSweden

• 3 TipsInternational

• 3 TipsItaly

• 3 TipsSaudi Arabia

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